Andy, that would depend on the content on the screen and all other UI elements that draw attention, the lay-out of the page and the type of application that page is part of.
But in general people tend to read in the middle of their page rather than the top or the bottom and they tend to scroll in 1-7 line chunks in very text heavy pages as illustrated by the study conducted by Microsoft: https://www.microsoft.com/en-us/research/wp-content/uploads/2016/07/PETMEI2015scrolling_petmei_15_final.pdf
It has an admittedly small sample size, but it's hard to find trustworthy research on this topic.
If your question is less about the reading/scrolling behaviour and more about whether or not your users will notice/find your content. You can use tools like VisualEyes to generate a AI-driven heatmap of your design